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Tea Party favorability ratings are in decline. That is bad, bad news for the GOP IMO

Posted by TWuG Mar 30 '11, 10:27

This is Nate Silver's take. (Remember, following this link will count against your monthly allotment of free NYT articles)

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/30/poll-shows-more-americans-have-unfavorable-views-tea-party/

This is the most recent poll. (i2.cdn.turner.com)

Responses:

Good news / bad news. Tea Party has infused part of the base, but has also splintered the GOP some. -- nm - ty97 Mar 30, 10:59
I'll see you and raise a "Obama�s Job Approval Rating Reaches Lowest Level" -- (link) - Ender Mar 30, 10:39 21
- [deleted] 12
  - It depends on what our forces are doing a year, year and a half from now. - TWuG Mar 30, 10:52 5
    - I'd expect the bigger danger is whether the "unable to make up his mind" thing settles in as conventional wisdom. -- nm - Ender Mar 30, 10:58 2
      - It could. Personally, I think it's unfounded. I'd rather have him thinking over options than just going in guns ablaze - TWuG Mar 30, 11:01 1
        
        Founded or unfounded has very little to do with public perception. Some things just stick. -- nm - Ender Mar 30, 11:03
    - [deleted] 1
      - I think things like this are driven by results. Not a one of us would still be bitching about Iraq if they had greeted us as liberators. - TWuG Mar 30, 10:59
  - i don't think it will last nearly that long. and it's about #16 on the list of reasons he hasn't earned my vote for 2012 - moles Mar 30, 10:52
  - The hypocricy of it all is mind-blowing. -- nm - Strongbad Mar 30, 10:51 4
    - [deleted] 3
      - Ed Schultz sure upped the ante with his "questioning the president in a time of war is unpatriotic" routine last night. -- nm - Ender Mar 30, 11:01 2
        
        That's awesome. -- nm - Strongbad Mar 30, 11:02 1
        
        - - Ender Mar 30, 11:05
- This shows how stupid people are. And it no nay representative. 36% Obama 37% GOP I call bs -- nm - MDH Mar 30, 10:43 2
  - Of course it's BS, all polls are BS. -- nm - Ender Mar 30, 10:45 1
    - 73% of poll responders confirm this. -- nm - David Mar 30, 11:01
- Not the least bit surprised. But I expect there's a big difference between "deserves reelection" and his chances against any GOP candidate. -- nm - TWuG Mar 30, 10:42 2
  - If only we could nominate "Un-named Republican candidate." -- nm - Strongbad Mar 30, 10:43 1
    - that's just crazy enough to work -- nm - moles Mar 30, 10:44
- People are stupid: Majority say don't get in Libya; but 60%+ say we should help the people. - Will Hunting Mar 30, 10:41 1
  - First 3 words were sufficient. (nm) - musubi Mar 30, 10:48
Hooray for single data point conclusions! Woohoo! -- nm - Strongbad Mar 30, 10:31 15
- Look at Nate Silvers analysis. It doesn't rely on the CNN poll alone. -- nm - TWuG Mar 30, 10:32
- You obviously didn't read the article. -- nm - Don Homer Mar 30, 10:32 13
  - But you're right, it's obviously better to get 538's spin as opposed to going to the primary source document. Good point. -- nm - Strongbad Mar 30, 10:35 10
    - Your criticism was "single point analysis" which it isn't. If you disagree that it's bad for the GOP, that's cool, but the analysis relies on 15 - TWuG Mar 30, 10:37 9
      - Your linked CNN Poll showed 1 data point of decline. - Strongbad Mar 30, 10:40 8
        
        Did you read the link in the IM that goes to the Nate Silver article? I linked *both* for a reason. - TWuG Mar 30, 10:44 7
        
        Nate's doing his usual leftist spin. Yes, I understand. - Strongbad Mar 30, 10:45 6
        
        That's fine that you disagree with his conclusion. But his conclusion isn't based on single point analysis, which was your complaint in the first - TWuG Mar 30, 10:48 5
        
        Your subject "Tea Party favorability ratings are in decline" was clearly not supported by the linked article. - Strongbad Mar 30, 10:50 4
        
        There hasn't been a change from 38 to 32 in their favorability ratings since December? - Will Hunting Mar 30, 10:51 3
        
        Which is the definition of "single data point conclusion" -- nm - Strongbad Mar 30, 10:52 2
        
        yet that article was linked and it clearly was supporting the statement. - Will Hunting Mar 30, 10:54 1
        
        Yes, I should have read both. - Strongbad Mar 30, 10:59
  - I obviously read the link. - Strongbad Mar 30, 10:34
  - Maybe he's saving his 20 views for something else. :-) -- nm - TWuG Mar 30, 10:33
Hopefully Boehner shows some sense in the next few days and ignores the TP to make a budget deal. -- nm - Don Homer Mar 30, 10:29 1
- Well, no chance of that. -- nm - Mop Mar 30, 10:39

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Tea Party favorability ratings are in decline. That is bad, bad news for the GOP IMO

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