ST Alpha - "I don't think his speed went anywhere as much as his on-base chances were reduced. " (Reading a Post)

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I don't think his speed went anywhere as much as his on-base chances were reduced.

Posted by TFox Mar 27 '12, 08:17

If he got on base at the same rate he did in prior seasons, and played a full compliment of games, I have him looking like something between 26-28 SBs last year. That's not 60 or 47 like he had in 09 and 10, but he was playing for Francona, not Maddon. Ellsbury only swiped 39, and that kid is fast as shit. But now playing for Valentine, who suicide squeezed home the tie run in a spring training game against the Yankees? Crawford has already been talking this spring that Valentine seems to manage games much more like Maddon than Francona did. I like him for 30+.

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You have a different opinion than anyone else I've read; - Will Hunting Mar 27, 08:18 1
- fangraphs has his speed scouting report in 2011 down to an 86 from 90/91 the prior two years. - TFox Mar 27, 08:21

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I don't think his speed went anywhere as much as his on-base chances were reduced.

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