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Favourites: 2
OK, debates all done. Election 2012 contest time!
Posted by
Reagen
Oct 23 '12, 07:59
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Send ballots to [email protected] by Nov 6,12 a.m. As with last time there will be a small prize.
Electoral Vote prediction
* 100 points for perfect EV score - subtract 1 point for each EV off - but points are not subtracted on both sides. e.g. prediction of 300-238, final result 328-200 = 72 points
Popular Vote
* 100 points for perfect popular vote % to the first decimal - 1 point off for each tenth % difference � points -will be- subtracted from both sides. e.g. prediction of 50.5, 45.3, final result 52.1-46.6 = 100-16-13= 71 points
In both cases it is possible to go negative - don't be off by more than 100 votes or 5%
Confidence Prediction
* You have 100 points to assign to both candidates (settle down Gary Johnson and Jill Stein fans) � you keep the points assigned to the winning of the EV contest.
i.e. If you assign 60 to Obama and 40 to Romney and Romney wins, you get a score of 40.
State with highest vote % for Obama (excluding DC)
State with highest vote % for Romney
(20 points each)
Swing States (5 points per)
AZ
CO
FL
IA
MI
MO
NC
NH
NV
OH
PA
VA
WI
Senate (5 points per)
AZ
CT
IN
FL
MA
MO
MT
ND
NE
NV
OH
PA
VA
WI
Change in House seats gain or (loss) for Democrats from 2010
You start with 50 points � and lose 1 point for amount off the total change
Ballot measures (2 points per)
California Death Penalty
Maine Same-Sex Marriage
Maryland Same-Sex Marriage
Minnesota Same-Sex Marriage
Washington Marijuana Legalization
Washington Same-Sex Marriage
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Responses:
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