ST Alpha - "the difference is how you get down to two cases..." (Reading a Post)

SlickerTalk
Search Archives
The Leaderboard
The FAQ

Down to Post

Backboards:

Posts: 173

In response to "Unless there's something about it I'm not seeing (I don't watch the show), it is -- (link)" by Reagen

the difference is how you get down to two cases...

Posted by dogbert183 Oct 22 '08, 19:10

(I'm not sure if I can explain this right by typing this and not being able to show you)

if it was the monty hall problem they would take away 25 or so cases to get me down to just two. they would give me LOTS of information.

with DOND if I haven't picked the right case, I have to earn all that information to get it down to two cases. by this I mean I have to correctly pick correct cases all the way down to two, and each time I do this I chip away at the huge odds that the monty hall problem allows if you switch.

in fact there might be an arguement that if you would have the million dollar case because of the odds against correctly choosing something other than the million case 25 times in a row

Responses:

but when he went from three to two cases, switching would still have improved his odds. - mafic Oct 22, 19:19 3
- though I suppose since he's the one choosing which case to open, it might not be the same as monty hall. regardless, the IM stands. -- nm - mafic Oct 22, 19:22 2
  - re IM: the $1 case is irrelevent, it's just the other case at that point. (if it was the $5 or the $500,000 case the question would still be the same - dogbert183 Oct 22, 19:24 1
    - yeah, but he's still no more likely to have picked anything but the $5 or $500,000 case 25 times. - mafic Oct 22, 19:33
Yeah, I see the difference now. - Reagen Oct 22, 19:14

Post a message top

the difference is how you get down to two cases...

Replies are disabled on threads older than 7 days.