ST Alpha - "but when he went from three to two cases, switching would still have improved his odds." (Reading a Post)

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In response to "the difference is how you get down to two cases..." by dogbert183

but when he went from three to two cases, switching would still have improved his odds.

Posted by mafic Oct 22 '08, 19:19

and the odds are equally against choosing anything but the $1 case 25 times in a row.

Responses:

though I suppose since he's the one choosing which case to open, it might not be the same as monty hall. regardless, the IM stands. -- nm - mafic Oct 22, 19:22 2
- re IM: the $1 case is irrelevent, it's just the other case at that point. (if it was the $5 or the $500,000 case the question would still be the same - dogbert183 Oct 22, 19:24 1
  - yeah, but he's still no more likely to have picked anything but the $5 or $500,000 case 25 times. - mafic Oct 22, 19:33

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