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1: Dec 1, 17:33
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6: Nov 29, 08:01
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Posts: 158
In response to
"
I'm trying to find it but turnout factors into it as well. According to this Kerry won 88% of their 11.4 million votes in 04, but in 08 with the surge
"
by
Loyola
The discussion I heard last night
Posted by
Strongbad (aka Rambler14)
Nov 9 '12, 09:55
was basically about whether 08/12 turnout is the "New Normal" or whether 2016 will more closely follow 04/06/10
Responses:
You can't possibly compare to 06 and 10 because midterms have 40% turnout at best. Given that the white vote will continue to fall if this isn't the
-
Don Homer
Nov 9, 10:03
I think if in 16 it's 2 white dudes going at it, it reverts to the kind of close result like 2000. It could break either way. I suppose that was the
-
Loyola
Nov 9, 10:02
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