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In response to
"So...anyone with Insider want to post up Kiper and McShay's Top 10 picks?"
by
Jim
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Here...
Posted by
Krusty (aka Krustylu)
Apr 25 '13, 10:45
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After a long grind that began with preseason film study, progressed through the college season and all-star games, then peaked with the NFL combine and pro day workouts, draft day is finally here.
Plenty of intel has been gathered and the buzz in scouting circles analyzed, so without further ado, here is my final first-round projection for the 2013 draft.
As always, non-seniors are noted with an asterisk.
MORE McSHAY MOCKS:
5.1 | 5.0 |4.1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0
1. Kansas City Chiefs
Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan | Draft highlight reel Video
2. Jacksonville Jaguars
Dion Jordan, DE/OLB, Oregon | Draft highlight reel Video
3. Oakland Raiders
Sharrif Floyd*, DT, Florida | Draft highlight reel Video
4. Philadelphia Eagles
Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma | Draft highlight reel Video
5. Detroit Lions
Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU | Draft highlight reel Video
6. Cleveland Browns
Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia | Draft highlight reel Video
7. Arizona Cardinals
Jonathan Cooper, G, North Carolina | Draft highlight reel Video
8. Buffalo Bills
Ryan Nassib, QB, Syracuse | Gruden's QB Camp Video
9. New York Jets
Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame | Watch Video
10. Tennessee Titans
Dee Milliner*, CB, Alabama | Draft highlight reel Video
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UPDATE: This has been changed as of 12:30 on Thursday afternoon.
This has not been a comfortable year to do mock drafts. Put it this way: When you talk to teams and know they're still dealing with a lot of internal debate about the best picks -- the day before the draft -- you're not exactly planning on going 32 for 32. What I do think is we'll see most picks match up with where I have players ranked in terms of value, at least early on. But, as my friend Adam Schefter mentioned today, once that first trade happens, all bets are off. And most of us feel a trade will happen early.
Because there's still a lot of fluidity with some of these picks, I do mention a number of scenarios in play. Also, for this final mock I'm getting less into player profiles, as most fans are developing a decent sense of who the players are. For this, it's more about scenarios and fits. As always, make sure you also check the Big Board and positional rankings to get a better idea of the overall grades and depth at each position.
MORE KIPER CONTENT:
Latest mock draft | Big Board | Top 5 at each position
1
Eric Fisher
Kansas City Chiefs (2-14)
COLLEGE: Central Michigan
AGE: 22
HT: 6-7
WT: 306
POS: OT
Analysis: We still think a deal that will send Branden Albert to Miami could get done. But even without that deal I don't think the Chiefs will pass on the highest-rated tackle on their board. The Chiefs believe Fisher can start in Week 1, and they want a player that should help ease the transition of Alex Smith into this offense. Andy Reid's tenure in Philly was ruined last year in part by an offensive line that fell apart. Fisher will anchor his next one.
PLAYER CARD
2
Luke Joeckel *
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-14)
COLLEGE: Texas A&M
AGE: 21
HT: 6-6
WT: 306
POS: OT
Analysis: Jacksonville has a need at one tackle spot now, and will almost certainly need one next year. They've had shaky picks in years past based on value, but I think they take the best player available here under a new regime. In this case, that's Joeckel.
PLAYER CARD
3
Sharrif Floyd *
Oakland Raiders (4-12)
COLLEGE: Florida
AGE: 20
HT: 6-3
WT: 297
POS: DT
Analysis: Fair warning at this slot -- the Raiders could certainly trade down. It makes a ton of sense if they do. They don't have a second-round pick, and any team who wants that third tackle knows this is the spot to get to. That said, if the Raiders stay here, Floyd makes a lot of sense because of his versatility, potential and high ceiling. Given that it's not exactly set which base defense the Raiders will operate out of in 2013, adding versatile defensive line talent also adds scheme flexibility. This is a max-effort player who can power through defenders and has enough quickness to target gaps, disrupting both the pass and the run.
PLAYER CARD
4
Lane Johnson
Philadelphia Eagles (4-12)
COLLEGE: Oklahoma
AGE: 22
HT: 6-6
WT: 303
POS: OT
Analysis: For Chip Kelly to really thrive, it's not just about the quarterback or the running backs. In fact, I think it starts with very good, athletic offensive lineman that can work and block in space. You won't find a better fit than Johnson, who is extremely athletic, can get out wide or down the field, has a nasty streak in the run game and can develop into a premier pass protector because of his physical gifts. He could be gone if the Raiders move at No. 3, but I like the fit here more and more.
PLAYER CARD
5
Ezekiel Ansah
Detroit Lions (4-12)
COLLEGE: BYU
AGE: 23
HT: 6-5
WT: 271
POS: DE
Analysis: The Lions have obvious needs in the secondary, but they're really going to struggle defending the pass if they can't find a player who can provide pressure off the edge. The more I look at their options, the more Ansah makes sense to me. A 4-3 defensive end who can help early on might not be available later, but depth at cornerback and safety will be. Tackle is an option if Johnson or Fisher is around, but I don't believe either will be.
PLAYER CARD
6
Dee Milliner
Cleveland Browns (5-11)
COLLEGE: Alabama
AGE: 21
HT: 6-0
WT: 201
POS: CB
Analysis: The Browns are really desperate for another corner to play opposite Joe Haden. If they get Milliner, that's a solid No. 2 option, also allowing them to move Buster Skrine inside to cover the slot, a position where he's far better. The need for a pass-rusher could certainly have them engaging in some debate here, but Milliner provides assurances. There's been talk that the Browns could move in either direction on the board, so plenty to wait for on that front as well. And yes, I do believe a QB such as Geno Smith could be in play here.
PLAYER CARD
7
Dion Jordan
Arizona Cardinals (5-11)
COLLEGE: Oregon
AGE: 23
HT: 6-6
WT: 248
POS: OLB
Analysis: I know they really like Jonathan Cooper as well, but this is one of those points where I believe the value of Jordan as a potentially dynamic pass-rusher in this scheme could outweigh the temptation of a player you know will be really good, but at a position you typically fill later in the draft. So I'll project a lean towards Jordan here, but won't be surprised if the Cardinals opt for an offensive lineman. They certainly need one.
PLAYER CARD
8
Jonathan Cooper
Buffalo Bills (6-10)
COLLEGE: North Carolina
AGE: 23
HT: 6-2
WT: 311
POS: G
Analysis: The Bills are really close to having an offensive line they think is good at every position, but the departure of Andy Levitre means that can't happen unless they plug the hole at left guard. In Cooper you get the best guard I've graded in years, a player who can play a Pro Bowl level as a rookie. I know the Ryan Nassib talk persists, but it's simply too early to make that move.
PLAYER CARD
9
Barkevious Mingo *
New York Jets (6-10)
COLLEGE: LSU
AGE: 22
HT: 6-4
WT: 242
POS: OLB
Analysis: I love the fit, and I think it makes even more sense when you consider the Jets have added another pick and could target offense at No. 13. But Rex Ryan needs -- probably deserves -- to finally have an athletic difference-maker on the edge. I've said before the interior of the defensive line should be a strength with Muhammad Wilkerson and Quinton Coples, but the Jets need edge speed. Mingo is a freak athlete and could become a star under Ryan's tutelage. Rex too often is forced to utilize what is sometimes creative brilliance with his schemes to create pressure. Mingo can get that done and help a secondary that just lost a huge piece.
PLAYER CARD
10
Sheldon Richardson *
Tennessee Titans (6-10)
COLLEGE: Missouri
AGE: 24
HT: 6-2
WT: 294
POS: DT
Analysis: The Titans are looking for help on the defensive line, and Richardson is a disruptive force that you don't have to take off the field. I know the option of Star Lotulelei is here, but as a scheme fit, Richardson makes a little more sense. Chance Warmack is also a possibility here, but the addition of Levitre makes them a little less needy at guard.
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