ST Alpha - "Sorry, should have been clear. Nomination. My gut tells me that the party blinks again." (Reading a Post)

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In response to "for the nomination or the general?" by charlie

Sorry, should have been clear. Nomination. My gut tells me that the party blinks again.

Posted by Name Withheld By Request (aka BlueKopo) Jul 2 '13, 10:25

The biggest factor will be age: Democrats simply do not see themselves as an older established party.

But I also think that the juggernaut factor will open up the field for an underdog who people will feel better about voting for in primaries, giving enough momentum to wrest the nomination from her in a long, drawn-out process.

Sound familiar?

Responses:

there is no Obama caliber candidate that i know of who would take the nomination from her. and i assume she's learned from the mistakes of 2008 - charlie Jul 2, 10:27 16
- Your hedge at the end is also a factor to me. I'm not 100% sure she doesn't gear up and then suddenly pull the cord at the end of the waiting period. -- nm - Name Withheld By Request Jul 2, 10:28 15
  - Well there are her health concerns and that of her hubby - eag Jul 2, 10:32 1
    - people love Bubba now more than ever. he's her biggest campaign trail asset -- nm - charlie Jul 2, 10:33
  - unless there is an intervening health issue between now and then, i can't imagine her not running - charlie Jul 2, 10:31 12
    - Fair enough. But my gut and head tell me people don't like juggernauts in politics. The ones who have delivered big rarely looked big at the start. - Name Withheld By Request Jul 2, 10:33 11
      - Your logic is exactly why I liked Obama in 2012 but I have made my peace with the fact that the nom is Clinton's if she wants it in 2016. -- nm - David Jul 2, 10:45 2
        
        Obama's biggest issue in 2007/08 wasn't that he wasn't a rock star in his own right; it was that he jumped the line - Will Hunting Jul 2, 11:06 1
        
        Still, that's the hindsight perspective. This places leans hard left yet we still didn't have many people who agreed that Obama was even a threat... - David Jul 2, 11:16
      - She will be 69 thats probably the biggest factor -- nm - eag Jul 2, 10:35 7
        
        that doesn't even sound old any more. -- nm - loosilu Jul 2, 10:38
        
        a year younger than Reagan when he took office -- nm - charlie Jul 2, 10:37 5
        
        But well over the oldest Democrat to get the nomination in the last sixty years (which from memory I believe was Kerry at 59). - Name Withheld By Request Jul 2, 10:49 2
        
        i think the history of electing the first woman president trumps any of that - charlie Jul 2, 10:53 1
        
        If the GOP continues their anti-woman crusade, she's going to get a LOT of the female vote - TWuG Jul 2, 11:19
        
        was he oldest? -- nm - amanda Jul 2, 10:39 1
        
        wiki sez yes -- nm - charlie Jul 2, 10:43

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Sorry, should have been clear. Nomination. My gut tells me that the party blinks again.

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