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In response to "I think it's 25%. Right now, I expect democratic gains in the House and Senate." by David

I give this about a 25% chance only in the House. The Dems picking up seats in the Senate is about 0% imo.

West Virginia is gone.
South Dakota is gone.
Montana is gone.

The only 2 places the GOP could lose is Georgia (most likely to have an Akin with those fucking idiots running) and maybe, maybe Kentucky...but both are unlikely. Maybe Maine if Susan Collins walks away.

I'm also going on the idea that New Jersey is going Democratic in the special election so the map will be 55-45 going into the cycle.

At least 3 seats for the GOP is my guess, and if Arkansas, Louisiana and NC all go, it's 6 seats switched.


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