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Posts: 155

LIR: WATCH is probably a million dollar short. -- nm

Posted by secretslacker Mar 8 '09, 07:02

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Responses:

If so, cool - my port needs this after the Jonas Brothers fiasco - and not being touched for a week. -- nm - Diva Mar 8, 09:08
And I assume the Cantor Exchange is going to experience the same problem as it has with the Jonas Brothers Movie - Dano Mar 8, 09:06
I'm glad I dumped my long. I was leaning short even though my EAP was 8 or 10 points above the halt price. - Jelly Mar 8, 07:16 2
- Qale's prediction was also above the halt price but he went short. -- nm - secretslacker Mar 8, 07:57 1
  - Turned out to be a weird if correct call. The adjusts never cease to be boring. -- nm - Qale Mar 8, 13:17
I wonder how close it comes to sub $100 delist. -- nm - Will Hunting Mar 8, 07:03 19
- It won't... probably 120-130 -- nm - secretslacker Mar 8, 07:10 18
  - I'll take the under on the 120 easily. - Will Hunting Mar 8, 07:15 17
    - you realize that you're calculating an under 2.2 delist mult, right? - secretslacker Mar 8, 07:56 4
      - Yes, I know exactly what I'm predicting. Normal weekend IM rules don't apply when the IM is this low. - Will Hunting Mar 8, 07:59 3
        
        Well,if you want to make it interesting... name your stakes :) -- nm - secretslacker Mar 8, 08:01 2
        
        It's interesting enough with my name on multiple posts at sub-120. - Will Hunting Mar 8, 08:04 1
        
        For the record, a 2.0 final multiplier wouldn't surprise me. I've been thinking between Cloverfield and The Hulk for a while now. -- nm - David Mar 8, 09:42
    - Man, and D. Mac is giving *me* shit for being down on this movie.. 2.2 mult is expected with that high a percentage of midnights. -- nm - secretslacker Mar 8, 07:52 1
      - D.Mac was giving you grief because you were down on the flick months out and then all of sudden decided that 70m+ was a good idea afterall. Too bad - Catzan Mar 8, 09:12
    - And in looking at this, i'm just now realizing how horrendous Friday the 13th's overall performance is. - Will Hunting Mar 8, 07:22 9
      - Of course, when you make back your entire production budget on the first Friday, horrible legs are less of an issue. -- nm - Dano Mar 8, 09:01 4
        
        Like The Happening, they'd still be a lot happier if they'd had a good movie to sell, though. -- nm - David Mar 8, 09:41 3
        
        Of course, I'm sure they'd rather have a $100M+ grosser from that start, but they sold what they had and must have made at least 3X production budget. - Dano Mar 8, 10:07 2
        
        You're doing a ventriloquist act with my MMQB comments about it, but they still left a lot of money on the table by making a bad film. -- nm - David Mar 8, 10:13
        
        I'm not saying it's a failure for it's cost/revenue; just how it got there is epic bad. -- nm - Will Hunting Mar 8, 10:11
      - what do we think the reason is?? me personally - I think word of mouth may have killed it - Epiphany Mar 8, 07:40 3
        
        There just wasn't a huge interest outside the core audience IMO. -- nm - Cuzin Todd Mar 8, 07:47
        
        Horror's already frontloaded, it's arguably the biggest horror franchise in history spanning 3 decades - Will Hunting Mar 8, 07:44
        
        It was the very definition of a one-day wonder. -- nm - Callisto Mar 8, 07:42

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