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Here is a question for you: Star Wars and Avengers 2 are both currently scheduled for 2015. Should Disney pu\sh Star Wars to 2016?

Posted by David (aka David) Aug 6 '14, 10:41

Is it better to have money earlier in the process or to have the #1 film in consecutive years?

Also, does anybody here think that Star Wars 7 beats Avengers 2?

Responses:

I think JJ and Kathleen Kennedy have asked for that. but Disney has said no. -- nm - Remlik Aug 6, 11:31
Depends on what all movies form other studios they can crush then. -- nm - Star-Lord Aug 6, 11:17
Nah, they have 6 months between them and then some tentpole in 2016 already.... - Will Hunting Aug 6, 10:58 1
- Right. SW7 needs to impress. - Mel Profit Aug 6, 11:05
Don't know an answer to question 1. But question 2...I think this totally depends on how the films look. - Jim Aug 6, 10:57
Screw that. I want my DIS stock to grow. A mega-year with AVNG2 and STAR7 will pad my portfolio -- nm - Mr. Havens Aug 6, 10:55 11
- This is what I was thinking (although I don't hold the stock). One huge year will push the price up more than two good years, and it will settle at a - zork Aug 6, 10:58 10
  - Only based off public perception. Disney's film studio is a very small part of their profit. -- nm - Inigo Aug 6, 10:59 9
    - sure but investors will expect merchandising and other licencing to go up also. -- nm - zork Aug 6, 11:01 8
      - Even those are teeny compared to what Disney (the network) and ESPN bring in profit. - Inigo Aug 6, 11:04 7
        
        To wit, Disney's quarterly revenue was $12.5 billion. -- nm - David Aug 6, 11:15 6
        
        If they each brought in (a big if but) $1B, that's hardly insignicant. -- nm - zork Aug 6, 11:19 5
        
        I presume you mean in box office. Keep in mind that billion dollar films are lucky to have profit margins in the range of 25%. - David Aug 6, 11:21 4
        
        FYI, from their earnings report, Media Networks and Parks and Resorts accounted for about 81% of profit for the quarter. - Inigo Aug 6, 11:36 2
        
        Interesting. I take it that it's because of inventory levels that need to be kept. -- nm - zork Aug 6, 11:40 1
        
        Not sure. Maybe they just don't make as much off each doll/figurine as we think? - Inigo Aug 6, 11:45
        
        You guys keep switching back and forth between revenue and profit. And I already mentioned that the factors you refer to will get a boost. -- nm - zork Aug 6, 11:26
I think from a financial perspective, Disney wants the best financial year, they can. - Inigo Aug 6, 10:53 1
- What I suspect Disney wants is a Very Star Wars Christmas in 2015. -- nm - David Aug 6, 10:55
Considering they'd need to basically double SW3's opening weekend to top Avengers 1 - Strongbad Aug 6, 10:50 1
- I generally agree with your logic but it isn't a one to one comparison. Sith earned $50 million on a Thursday. - David Aug 6, 10:54
I don't see the point in pushing SW into 2016. Sure, having #1 two years in a row is good, but having the top 2 films in 2015 - TWuG Aug 6, 10:45 22
- I agree on IM, you have 30 years worth of reasons why it can beat A2. - groiny Aug 6, 10:47 19
  - Any info out there on whether we're getting a trailer sometime this fall? Disney must have a big holiday movie of some sort it can attach it to. -- nm - Shaun Aug 6, 11:08 4
    - Wing Commander 2* - David Aug 6, 11:17 2
      - Still love that game. Horrible movie though. -- nm - Strongbad Aug 6, 11:23
      - *golf clap* -- nm - Star-Lord Aug 6, 11:18
    - Big Hero 6 would be my guess. -- nm - Inigo Aug 6, 11:09
  - Avengers earned $623 million and was passionately loved. That is a huge gap for Star Wars to overcome. - David Aug 6, 10:58 12
    - Sure. But that 30 years of waiting for something good, plus all the fans of the animated/book/comics stuff, I think gives it - TWuG Aug 6, 11:02 10
      - That's revisionist history. People applauded before, during and after the trailers for Phantom Menace. -- nm - David Aug 6, 11:18 9
        
        had the last 3 movies never came out, you would think SW was a lock to take the title. - groiny Aug 6, 11:22 8
        
        Yes and no. Kids loved them, so they will be jazzed to see more. Adults hated them and eagerly await redemption. -- nm - Star-Lord Aug 6, 11:40 1
        
        I was hoping others thought this as well. The No-Lucas factor will bring a fair number of adults back in the fold. -- nm - zork Aug 6, 11:45
        
        those 3 movies, kids at that point loved them. -- nm - Remlik Aug 6, 11:36 1
        
        Exactly. And they now are of age to buy tickets on opening weekend. -- nm - zork Aug 6, 11:39
        
        Well, *I* wouldn't but some would. :P -- nm - David Aug 6, 11:23 3
        
        JOSS WHEDON. -- nm - dayvid Aug 6, 11:27 2
        
        He is better than Zach. -- nm - David Aug 6, 11:32 1
        
        That's like saying a cold beer on a hot summer day is better than getting castrated. -- nm - Shaun Aug 6, 11:36
    - how many years apart were they? - groiny Aug 6, 11:02
  - To your IM: Absolutely. If the trailers have even a touch of the prequelness about them, that'll hurt. - TWuG Aug 6, 10:50
- re: IM, I'd say they did something terribly wrong if SW7 did not beat Avengers2 -- nm - zork Aug 6, 10:47
- #1 back to back years is worthless, the only reason to delay would be if you felt one would eat into the BO of the other. -- nm - Ender Aug 6, 10:47

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Here is a question for you: Star Wars and Avengers 2 are both currently scheduled for 2015. Should Disney pu\sh Star Wars to 2016?

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