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In response to "I would suspect that number really comes more from Urban districts going like 80-20 Dem and Rural districts only going like 60-40 Rep. -- nm" by Ender

which is precisely how partisan gerrymandering works

you take a state with a roughly even partisan split, shove a large part of the democrats into a few massively partisan blue districts, and spread the rest between a larger number of modestly but significantly red ones.

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