ST Alpha - "The Upshot at NYT is taking the votes in so far and using modeling to project the final vote based on that, state by state" (Reading a Post)

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The Upshot at NYT is taking the votes in so far and using modeling to project the final vote based on that, state by state

Posted by ty97 Nov 4 '14, 17:00

Not sure how accurate it will turn out to be, but it's an interesting approach. Their current calculation ain't great for Warner.

link (elections.nytimes.com)

Responses:

Thanks much for this link. -- nm - mara Nov 4, 17:14
If Mark Warner loses, the Dems are in deep shit. - Will Hunting Nov 4, 17:02 6
- I know I'm dopey, but until right now, it has not occurred to me he might lose. - loosi at home Nov 4, 17:05 5
  - Most polls had him up high single digits. - Will Hunting Nov 4, 17:06 4
    - how much are rents in your area? -- nm - loosi at home Nov 4, 17:08 1
      - We might elect a guy who's basically said if no one sues, it's not illegal. - Will Hunting Nov 4, 17:10
    - [deleted] 1
      - I've always wondered if leads like that (decent, but not landslide) in polls make supporters less likely to bother voting. - ty97 Nov 4, 17:10
[deleted] 11
- Virginia hte last few cycles has been a case of the GOP starts hot (rest of the state) and then fades as the DC suburbs come in. -- nm - Will Hunting Nov 4, 17:03 1
  - the rest of the state is a scary, scary place. -- nm - loosi at home Nov 4, 17:05
- The red numbers are actual returns (currently). The blue numbers are their projection of the final difference.... - ty97 Nov 4, 17:03 8
  - Ack, ignore the color reference. Make that - ty97 Nov 4, 17:05 4
    - [deleted] 3
      - I appreciate that Upshot is graphing both the actuals and their projections so we can see how accurate they are in the end. - ty97 Nov 4, 17:11 1
        
        [deleted]
      - Did all these pollsters talk to Eric Cantor's team? Jeebus. -- nm - Will Hunting Nov 4, 17:09
  - [deleted] 2
    - Gillepsie is ahead in actuals right now, yes. Brown is not. -- nm - ty97 Nov 4, 17:06
    - [deleted]
And in the time I typed/posted that - ty97 Nov 4, 17:01

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The Upshot at NYT is taking the votes in so far and using modeling to project the final vote based on that, state by state

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