ST Alpha - "I'm going to say it. We are far too polarized a country to ever have a presidential election map that looks like 1964 or 1984 ever again. " (Reading a Post)

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I'm going to say it. We are far too polarized a country to ever have a presidential election map that looks like 1964 or 1984 ever again.

Posted by Tim (aka othertim) Nov 4 '14, 20:49

Congressional districts are gerrymandered to take advantage of low information voters which means things will be inherently slanted towards the GOP without major changes and the biggest blue wave in electoral history. The Senate will see-saw wave years between both parties, depending on whether it's not a presidential year. I look at the states Obama won in 2012. The only state I would willingly hand a Republican candidate right now is Florida, but that still gives the Democratic candidate a victory. Hell, they can have Ohio too and they still lose. Without some sort of MASSIVE shakeup in demographics, I honestly cannot see how things don't continue along the same cycle they have for the last several years.

Responses:

The next step will be laws to split delegates, -- nm - David Nov 4, 20:51 5
- As states trend "purple" I think an Electoral College change is going to happen within the next 20 years. -- nm - Tim Nov 4, 20:53 3
  - Less likely is viable third party manages to spring up. - Tim Nov 4, 20:57 2
    - I know many Canadians on this board will say otherwise, but multiple parties does not a better system make. - Name Withheld By Request Nov 4, 21:48
    - Green Party: Weed for all, hug trees, love Canadians. -- nm - budice Nov 4, 20:58
- Yep. -- nm - TWuG Nov 4, 20:52
When we're all getting high on legal pot, the map's going to look like whatever we imagine it to be. -- nm - Max Nov 4, 20:50 1
- Green? -- nm - budice Nov 4, 20:56
Never say never, things can shift. But you're right for the near future. -- nm - ty97 Nov 4, 20:49

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I'm going to say it. We are far too polarized a country to ever have a presidential election map that looks like 1964 or 1984 ever again.

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