ST Alpha - "I think it's dangerous to try to pin cause/effect on short-term market movements" (Reading a Post)

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In response to "Someone help me out here: Why is the Dow dropping so dramatically in response to falling oil prices?" by ReluctantYuleLog

I think it's dangerous to try to pin cause/effect on short-term market movements

Posted by ty97 Dec 12 '14, 13:17

(despite the billion dollar industry that is made of 'market experts' explaining/predicting the market)

*IF* this drop is tied to oil rather than just playing the players (i'm certainly not convinced) the logic would be that the skid in oil suggests a potential economic slowdown (i.e. if demand is dropping so hard, there has to be a reason. Uh-oh, production must be falling)

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Good point. I was going with the news reports I've seen saying the drop in the Dow was because of falling oil prices. - ReluctantYuleLog Dec 12, 13:25 1
- Certainly, that's what every news report is going with. - ty97 Dec 12, 13:28

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I think it's dangerous to try to pin cause/effect on short-term market movements

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