ST Alpha - "Let's play this game every once in a while for the next 18 months. What odds do you give of Hillary Clinton becoming POTUS?" (Reading a Post)

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Let's play this game every once in a while for the next 18 months. What odds do you give of Hillary Clinton becoming POTUS?

Posted by David (aka David) Apr 13 '15, 08:18

I'm at 80%.

Responses:

30% - I'm unconvinced that she's a campaigner that can seal the deal. Even choking away the nomination again wouldn't shock me. - Name Withheld By Request Apr 13, 09:06 1
- The democratic party appears to have cleared the field of major contenders. - David Apr 13, 09:08
55%.....I think shes starting WAYYY too early and shes going to run into voter and momentum fatigue. She will have to work for the win. -- nm - Walt_Disney Apr 13, 08:45 5
- They're all having to start early for different reasons. In the GOP, you need to start early to get money and personnel. - Will Hunting Apr 13, 09:05 1
  - Republicans will have the usual cage death match and the winner will be bloody cripple who will have to disavow the very thing that left him as the no -- nm - zeitgeist roaming the dark galaxy Apr 13, 13:50
- Everyone who is running has been working behind the scenes for *years* regardless of whether they've announced yet or not. -- nm - Reagen Apr 13, 08:54 1
  - which is why I am certain Hillary has Warren in her pocket. - Mel Profit Apr 13, 09:00
- If there isn't real competition, it won't be an issue. If Warren or someone else serious runs, I think you're right. -- nm - David Apr 13, 08:50
40%. - Will Hunting Apr 13, 08:25
[deleted] 1
- [deleted]
I figure she'll win 54% of the vote. -- nm - Max Apr 13, 08:22
312.50% -- nm - budice Apr 13, 08:22 1
- (I almost went there, but couldn't. So converted down and doubled.) -- nm - Ultron Apr 13, 08:22
70% - Mel Profit Apr 13, 08:22 6
- I misread and thought this was nominee only. POTUS - I give it 55% likely. - Mel Profit Apr 13, 08:23 5
  - Nominee, I give her 99%. -- nm - Ultron Apr 13, 08:24
  - I'd give her 90% on the nomination. - ty97 Apr 13, 08:24 3
    - Is 8% of that her dying prior to the convention? And 2% for her imploding? - Will Hunting Apr 13, 08:27 2
      - heh, that is my 1%. -- nm - Ultron Apr 13, 08:28
      - 9.99% is her dying. -- nm - ty97 Apr 13, 08:27
75%. Heard an interview with Ed Rendell (form PA Gov) the other day. He was saying - decline Apr 13, 08:21 1
- [deleted]
62.50% -- nm - Ultron Apr 13, 08:20
70% -- nm - Krusty Apr 13, 08:19
75% -- nm - Kim Pine Apr 13, 08:19
[deleted]
66% -- nm - Beaker Apr 13, 08:19
50/50 -- nm - ty97 Apr 13, 08:19
90% -- nm - MDH Apr 13, 08:18 1
- The electoral map is just so interesting now. The GOP can flip: FL, IA, WI, VA and they still lose. -- nm - MDH Apr 13, 08:21

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