ST Alpha - "I think the opening weekend record is probably safe, but Avatar is in jeopardy. -- nm" (Reading a Post)

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In response to "Star Wars is going to crush Avatar's OW, no doubts there, but not a chance, imo, for total gross. -- nm" by Shaun

I think the opening weekend record is probably safe, but Avatar is in jeopardy. -- nm

Posted by Inigo (aka Inigo) Nov 9 '15, 11:18

(No message)

Responses:

Worldwide, sure. Domestic? I doubt it. -- nm - David Nov 9, 11:24 24
- $2.78 billion isn't happening worldwide. $760 million has a much better shot stateside. -- (edited) - Inigo Nov 9, 11:28 23
  - I think you're exactly backwards on this. That's what makes these discussions fun. -- nm - David Nov 9, 11:30 22
    - The Phantom Menace made $450 million or so internationally (prior to the re-release), Revenge of the Sith made $468 million overseas. - Inigo Nov 9, 11:36 10
      - i fully expect this to way outperform Phantom Menace (even taking inflation, etc into account). -- nm - Andie Nov 9, 11:43 1
        
        Me too, but way outperform TPM, and making $2.8 billion are two different planets. -- nm - Inigo Nov 9, 11:48
      - Because the marketplace exploded. Now, absolute garbage can earn half a billion. - David Nov 9, 11:41 7
        
        Sure, but that's just it. Jurassic World was an enormous hit. Yet it only made $1 billion overseas. -- (edited) - Inigo Nov 9, 11:46 2
        
        I'm not "expecting" anything. I'm discussing permutations. See below. - David Nov 9, 11:57 1
        
        To be clear, by problems in China I'm thinking they'll have to deal with $150 million there instead of $250 million. -- (edited) - Inigo Nov 9, 12:02
        
        Jurassic World's *billion* still leaves it about 1 billion short of Avatar. - Will Hunting Nov 9, 11:46 3
        
        You're preaching to the choir, but I'm slotting Star Wars at $550M domestic and $1.5B overseas. - David Nov 9, 11:54 2
        
        I can get behind those #'2...which still leaves it a Passion of the Christ short overall. -- nm - Will Hunting Nov 9, 11:56 1
        
        Oh, I always expect Star Wars films to be shorts. - David Nov 9, 11:58
    - And you are both incorrect as it will wipe the records out. - Spawn Nov 9, 11:33 10
      - yup. -- nm - Remlik Nov 9, 11:38 1
        
        Gotta agree with the Indiana boys here -- nm - eag Nov 9, 11:44
      - Oh, honey. -- nm - David Nov 9, 11:33 7
        
        It amuses me that for someone that makes a living off of movies, you continue to fail to see which way the wind is blowing. - Spawn Nov 9, 11:50 6
        
        Fine, let's make a wager. I'll buy you a Star Wars blu-ray if beats Avatar domestically. You buy me a Vudu movie when (err, "if") it doesn't. -- nm - David Nov 9, 11:53 5
        
        I would have to check and see if we have a blu-ray player! - Spawn Nov 9, 12:05 3
        
        Fine, I'll get you a $20 Fandango gift card. You'll get me the Vudu film of my choice. -- nm - David Nov 9, 12:11
        
        you do! the xbox! -- nm - Remlik Nov 9, 12:05 1
        
        and adjust the deal for the Peanuts Blu ray -- nm - Remlik Nov 9, 12:06
        
        It's a trap! He's going to buy you TPM! -- nm - Shaun Nov 9, 11:55

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