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I think Trump ends up being an historically bad candidate.

I know Hispanics tend to vote Democratic, but not nearly to the extent African-Americans do iirc...instead of 94%, it's like 75% iirc...I'd imagine that number gets closer to 90%...

add in his absurdity about women, I'd expect an uptick for Hillary in that democgraphic; and then a depressed turnout for the right-wing evangelicals given Trump's a walking billboard for divorce.

Short of the economy being garbage (possible), I'd expect Hillary to win by about 7-8%.


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