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In response to "Your point isn't well founded is my point. You're comparing relatively close races against one with a clear frontrunner. -- nm" by David

And if the Republican primary was a one day national voting, it would be a great indicator but that's not how it works.

We know that Iowa and NH cause great fluctuations in the polls. It happens every time. Listening to a national poll one week before that happens doesn't tell you much no matter how much you wish it true.

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