ST Alpha - "To this point, all you've done is post numbers as if they're telling a story. They're not." (Reading a Post)

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In response to "My argument is that national polls are useless right now. I pulled one example to meet his criteria. " by spamlet

To this point, all you've done is post numbers as if they're telling a story. They're not.

Posted by David (aka David) Jan 26 '16, 09:14

I'm asking you to check the track record of your own argument by seeing how many candidates ahead +22 (or more) in a campaign have lost the nomination since 1992 (or whenever).

Responses:

Clinton above (2008). Gringrich was +21 a month out from Iowa (2012). Huckabee only got to +14 a month out in 2008. - spamlet Jan 26, 09:24 8
- So, you can't find another example for a week out, your original assertion? - David Jan 26, 09:31 7
  - Guys, let's just let things play out. In 7 days, we'll know if Trump's legit or not. - Will Hunting Jan 26, 09:35 5
    - Wait, there is doubt he will win Iowa? -- nm - Spawn Jan 26, 09:37 4
      - It's actually a coin flip between the two guys Republicans don't want to be the candidate. -- nm - David Jan 26, 09:43
      - Cruz is polling close (and was ahead). Iowa is a conservative state for these votes. - Will Hunting Jan 26, 09:39 2
        
        Hmm. Not in the polls I have seen. -- nm - Spawn Jan 26, 09:44 1
        
        Here's a good horse-race diagram of Iowa. -- (link) - Will Hunting Jan 26, 09:52
  - They're useless before Iowa in general but *especially* useless right now. - spamlet Jan 26, 09:35

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To this point, all you've done is post numbers as if they're telling a story. They're not.

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