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In response to "So, you can't find another example for a week out, your original assertion?" by David

They're useless before Iowa in general but *especially* useless right now.

Restricting it to one week before doesn't really matter all that much other than to say your exact scenario did happen.

I can't find reliable national polling before 2004 but it was a two man race between Gephardt and Dean.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries%2C_2004#Iowa_and_New_Hampshire


If something has happened each of the last 6 times (by my count) and each time people said "this time is different"...



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