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In response to "I give Rubio a 51% chance. -- nm" by Spawn

I think I go 60/30/10 between Trump/Rubio/Cruz.

but that will all change tomorrow given we'll have actual results to start perusing.

if Trump loses to Cruz tonight, it's back to 60/30/10 for Rubio/Trump/Cruz.

if Cruz tanks and Rubio sneaks a basic tie, it's 60/40 Rubio going forward.

It all hinges on how strong Rubio is in NH and if he can clear the establishment. It'll be tough to tell Kasich to get out of the race if he gets 2nd place. It's easy to have Kasich get out of the race if he finishes in 4th.


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