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In response to "What's the handicapping on the remaining Democrats to report? I'm seeing 49.9% to 49.4% (88% in). Any chance he catches her? -- nm" by Name Withheld by Request

538 has it as not impossible, but not likely -- (edited)

DAVID WASSERMAN 10:44 PM
To my eye, the outstanding precincts on the Democratic side slightly favor Hillary Clinton. Statewide, only 13 percent of precincts are left outstanding. But 21 percent of precincts are outstanding in Clinton’s best large county, Polk, and 23 percent of precincts remain to be counted in Dubuque, her other best large county. Meanwhile, Bernie Sanders has 23 percent of Story County (Ames), but that’s smaller. All but 7 percent of Johnson County (Iowa City) is in.


  • link (fivethirtyeight.com)
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