ST Alpha - "Delegate math for ty97: Clinton needs 33% of remaining, Sanders, 67% -- (link)" (Reading a Post)

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Delegate math for ty97: Clinton needs 33% of remaining, Sanders, 67% -- (link)

Posted by decline (aka Decline) Apr 11 '16, 06:25

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https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/719506182436712448 (twitter.com)

Responses:

Here's your delegate goals for April (Hillary/Bernie): NY 122/125, CT: 27/28, MD: 53/42, PA: 93/96, RI: 11/13 (Thats Bernie winning 4 of those states) -- nm - MDH Apr 11, 06:39 4
- That seems unlikely for Bernie. -- nm - TWuG Apr 11, 06:40 3
  - If it happened, it would demonstrate a fundamental shift in demographic voting patterns and the overall race. -- nm - ty97 Apr 11, 06:41 2
    - This. NY will be interesting. If Hillary wins by 14-18 as recent polls show, that'll set the tone for the rest of April. -- nm - MDH Apr 11, 06:46 1
      - I agree NY will be interesting, though I think (due to the 'home state' NY effect, PA/MD will be more telling) - ty97 Apr 11, 06:48
Only if you include super delegates in the calculation - znufrii Apr 11, 06:33
[deleted] 6
- yeah, I ignore supers. The math without supers is either 56 or 57% for Sanders right now. - ty97 Apr 11, 06:30 5
  - I have to say that I'm kind of surprised he's done this well. - Krusty Apr 11, 06:41 4
    - He has far exceeded any and all expectations that even the most liberal and hopeful prognosticators could have forecast. - ty97 Apr 11, 06:47 3
      - I think it's basically because..... - volnelk Apr 11, 06:54
      - I really want it to be because America is moving left but I don't think that's the case, at least not in any meaningful way. - Krusty Apr 11, 06:51 1
        
        I think/hope part of it is that the younger element of the Democratic party (and of previously non-party affiliated young people) is further left - ty97 Apr 11, 06:57
and the GOP: Trump 61%, Cruz: 87%, Kaisch: 138% -- (link) - decline Apr 11, 06:26
Bernie falls farther behind with each of his wins. -- nm - TWuG Apr 11, 06:26 1
- April is going to be tough. Bernie's goal for NY delegates alone would have him beating Hillary 51-49 or so. -- nm - MDH Apr 11, 06:35

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