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The one thing I question about all these national and state polls that say (e.g) Clinton 43%, Trump 32%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3% -- (edited)

Posted by ty97 Aug 5 '16, 12:39

How much of that Johnson 8% are people who say Jonson to a pollster but will actually vote Trump in November

(and I mean this in two flavors:
How many are planning to vote for Trump but don't want to admit it to a pollster
How many plan to vote for Johnson but when election day push comes to shove will vote R)

Responses:

How many say they'll vote for Johnson but then not bother to vote at all? - Covington Aug 5, 15:26
Keep it under one Trump Post. Here is a web ad showing on his tweeter account -- (link) - amoxy Aug 5, 13:12 5
- Apparently if he doesn't win, he's wasted a lot of time and money and it's all Iowa's fault. -- nm - znufrii, dad. Aug 5, 13:24 2
  - I would say New Hampshire, because Cruz won Iowa -- nm - amoxy Aug 5, 13:30 1
    - I'm just taking him at his word from his campaign rally there today. -- nm - znufrii, dad. Aug 5, 13:35
- Even CNN keeps refering to the PULSE attack as an ISIL attack. - Spawn Aug 5, 13:21
- [deleted]
And now it looks like Trump will endorse Paul Ryan tonight -- (link) - amoxy Aug 5, 13:03 6
- Will wait until tonight to see if it happens. -- nm - . Aug 5, 13:34
- The big intervention was a success. -- nm - pmb Aug 5, 13:21
- Eh, they'll go along with whatever their Leader says. - znufrii, dad. Aug 5, 13:06 3
  - [deleted] 2
    - Much like David's toe. -- nm - pmb Aug 5, 13:16 1
      - [deleted]
[deleted] 3
- They mostly just tend not to show up. Johnson was polling at 5 this time last time and got... 1. -- nm - Reagen Aug 5, 13:00 2
  - But did the other 4% not show up? Or show up and vote for [ O or R]? -- nm - ty97 Aug 5, 13:06 1
    - Since Obama beat his numbers and I can't imagine many Johnson voters fell to him, my supposition is that they stayed home. -- nm - Reagen Aug 5, 13:15
I'm ok if people who are NOT going to vote for T or H, vote for Johnson. I just hope more people vote for H than T. - Zombie JaxSean Aug 5, 12:57
So you're thinking there might be a bit of Bradley effect? -- nm - KuBaron and the Two STrings Aug 5, 12:51 2
- I thought we buried that dead and gone when Obama outperformed his polls twice - Reagen Aug 5, 12:55 1
  - Reverse Bradley effect! :) -- nm - KuBaron and the Two STrings Aug 5, 13:02
Why can't you be happy for 10 seconds??? -- nm - David Aug 5, 12:50 8
- Analysis makes me happy! -- nm - ty97 Aug 5, 12:54 7
  - Reads... rereads. Ah. -- nm - Spawn Aug 5, 13:22
  - FREAK! -- nm - Epiphany Aug 5, 12:58 3
    - Coming from you, I will accept that highest of compliments! :) -- nm - ty97 Aug 5, 13:05 2
      - as you should. also - hypochondraic buddy - I was convinced I had scratched myself and contracted MRSA - Epiphany Aug 5, 13:07 1
        
        I could not work anywhere near your field or I would die of stress about all the things I was 'dying' from! -- nm - ty97 Aug 5, 13:10
  - Paranoia makes you happy! -- nm - David Aug 5, 12:58 1
    - [deleted]
*shrug* - znufrii, dad. Aug 5, 12:42

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The one thing I question about all these national and state polls that say (e.g) Clinton 43%, Trump 32%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3% -- (edited)

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