ST Alpha - "New MULaw poll of Wisconsin 10/6-10/9 (tape released 10/7. Debate 10/9 so this is pre-debate) Clinton 44 Trump 37 Johnson 9 Stein 3 ML 0 -- (link)" (Reading a Post)

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New MULaw poll of Wisconsin 10/6-10/9 (tape released 10/7. Debate 10/9 so this is pre-debate) Clinton 44 Trump 37 Johnson 9 Stein 3 ML 0 -- (link)

Posted by ty97 Oct 12 '16, 10:25

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https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/786256388313919488 (twitter.com)

Responses:

I'm really not sure why people consider WI a swing state? It's clearly blue. Not purple, blue. -- nm - MDH Oct 12, 10:32 11
- Just because it hasn't swung does not mean it lacks the ability to do so in the right conditions. -- nm* - znufrii, dad. Oct 12, 10:43 1
  - States can definitely swing. Actually see above for a comment I just made about consistency in states/flipping and what it's doing for the GOP. -- nm - MDH Oct 12, 10:45
- It's a blue state who elected Scott Walker 3 times. -- nm - Strongbad Oct 12, 10:34 4
  - Yes, but I mean on a national level. The last time they GOP for president was 32 years ago. -- nm - MDH Oct 12, 10:36 3
    - The day before tape came out, the poll found Trump 41 / Clinton 40 -- nm - ty97 Oct 12, 10:40 1
      - I understand the poll, I'm just stating I have a lot of faith that it wouldn't end up that way. -- nm - MDH Oct 12, 10:45
    - I agree with you, I personally think of it as more of a blue state than a purple state. -- nm - Strongbad Oct 12, 10:39
- Midwest/upper midwest states like OH/MI/WI are (were?) potentially swingier this cycle with the demographic shifts among whites -- nm - ty97 Oct 12, 10:33 3
  - OH and MI I get, just not WI. -- nm - MDH Oct 12, 10:34
  - (also I think MU *always* polls WI because they are in WI) -- nm - ty97 Oct 12, 10:34 1
    - look at the Thursday numbers in WI in the daily breakdown -- nm - ty97 Oct 12, 10:36
Strong poll variation by day pre- vs post-tape -- (link*) - ty97 Oct 12, 10:30
so you're telling me there's a chance..... -- nm - ML Oct 12, 10:28

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