ST Alpha - "To me this is the most telling/important piece of Electoral College voting in years to come." (Reading a Post)

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To me this is the most telling/important piece of Electoral College voting in years to come.

Posted by MDH (aka MDH) Oct 12 '16, 10:44

Look at the states where each party has won in the past 3 elections. 2004/2008/2012. If you look at the numbers/state like this, the GOP starts with 179 ECV. The Democrats start with 242.

The states not included are:
NV, CO, NM
IA, IN, OH
VA, NC, FL
NH

Further: NV, CO, NM, IA, OH, VA, FL, and NH all went Dem twice in a row. That leaves just NC as something that's switched in the past 2 elections. This isn't good for the GOP.

At some point the GOP would need to make inroads into these states, and bigtime. Because if they keep losing them, they can find themselves "locked out" of the EC for a time, unless they really bring a strong candidate or change.

Responses:

The Dems no doubt have a better starting map, but assuming 04/08/12 edicts a 16 win is wrong. -- nm - ty97 Oct 12, 10:45 3
- Not saying that at all, just saying that ground game/work has to be done for the GOP. You can't keep losing every one of these. - MDH Oct 12, 10:47 2
  - Also for ty97, Nate Silver was talking about this the other as "the thing the GOP knows, doesn't want to talk about, and needs to fix" -- nm - MDH Oct 12, 10:49 1
    - the absence of a GOP plan is not the same thing as the existence of a Democratic plan - mr monkey Oct 12, 10:52

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To me this is the most telling/important piece of Electoral College voting in years to come.

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