ST Alpha - "Hmmmm. The black vote was particularly motivated in 2008 and 2012. I wonder if there were any factors we could isolate." (Reading a Post)

SlickerTalk
Search Archives
The Leaderboard
The FAQ

Login
Create Account

Search Dr. S. Talk
TT/ST Wiki
How Well Do You Know ...

RSS Feed

Hosting by DigitalOcean

Support ST on Ko-Fi

Down to Post

Backboards:

Posts: 155

In response to "I don't know why there's any thought it would follow off-year support closer than election year support. -- nm" by Reagen

Hmmmm. The black vote was particularly motivated in 2008 and 2012. I wonder if there were any factors we could isolate.

Posted by Name Withheld by Request (aka BlueKopo) Nov 4 '16, 08:12

;-)

We may want to look to their 2000 turnout. Might be the closest analogy for 2016.

Responses:

c'mon, you know what I'm talking about - Reagen Nov 4, 08:14 3
- Hence a wink, but serious about 2000 being a better baseline to use in modelling this year than 2008 and 2012 which will be clear outliers for years. -- nm - Name Withheld by Request Nov 4, 08:18 2
  - the white vote in 2000 was 81%, AA 10% and Latino only 7%. that's not happening this year - mr monkey Nov 4, 08:23 1
    - Sure, but my head when to the turnout percentage of the eligible AA vote. Not their proportion of the overall vote. -- nm - Name Withheld by Request Nov 4, 08:26

Post a message top

Replies are disabled on threads older than 7 days.