ST Alpha - "So just took a peak at the Oscar odds and without seeing either movie, this leapt out at me: Best Actor" (Reading a Post)

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So just took a peak at the Oscar odds and without seeing either movie, this leapt out at me: Best Actor

Posted by Name Withheld by Request (aka BlueKopo) Jan 18 '17, 12:33

Casey Affleck -400
Denzel Washington +450

At those odds, Denzel's gotta be a value play, right? Affleck's not pulling away with this.

Responses:

i do not see Denzel winning. -- nm - Andie Jan 18, 13:31 1
- : | -- nm - Denzel award show face Jan 18, 13:32
For whatever it's worth (not much) Bill Simmons was all over this on his podcast this week - rollo Jan 18, 13:05 4
- [deleted] 3
  - Refresh my memory? What was he criticized for? -- nm - Name Withheld by Request Jan 18, 13:27 2
    - it was a long, messy, messy ramble and he seemed very unprepared for it even though it was a Lifetime Achievement Award and he knew he was getting it. - Diva Jan 18, 13:52 1
      - Gotcha. I remember that now. Brought the family up, right? - Name Withheld by Request Jan 18, 13:56
[deleted] 9
- He didn't get it for Training Day either apparently. (I may have begun handicapping this.) Edit: More inside... -- (edited) - Name Withheld by Request Jan 18, 12:38 8
  - [deleted] 2
    - Expanded field and Viola cruising? I think it has to secure one of those slots. He *may* get a Director nod, but that's a longer shot. - Name Withheld by Request Jan 18, 12:54 1
      - [deleted]
  - He's more likely to win as director. -- nm - . Jan 18, 12:44 3
    - Odds disagree with you on that. LaLa is a huge favorite there. -- nm - Strongbad Jan 18, 12:46 1
      - Over winning as actor. -- nm - . Jan 18, 13:50
    - No. That one is locked down 100% for La La Land. -- nm - Name Withheld by Request Jan 18, 12:45
  - Although that was a clear movement year. -- nm - Reagen Jan 18, 12:40

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