ST Alpha - "holy crap. this is authentically baghdad bob stuff" (Reading a Post)

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holy crap. this is authentically baghdad bob stuff

Posted by x (aka dmuck) Jan 21 '17, 15:25

"This was the largest audience to ever witness an inauguration period, both in person and around the globe"-- Sean Spicer

that the current admin feels the need for its spokesman to come out and say this one day in is completely hilarious. this is great.

Responses:

RE B2, you're right that this shouldn't be of any concern to them - Reagen Jan 21, 16:10 13
- I also think what troubles them is that they expected broken spirits - Reagen Jan 21, 16:17 12
  - All 7 continents. All of them. -- nm - Andie Jan 21, 16:38 1
    - "Those penguins were marching already!" -- nm - Reagen Jan 21, 17:17
  - i don't expect Trump to care or change. i *do* hope that those around him realize that people aren't going to just sit back and take their crap. -- nm - Andie Jan 21, 16:38 1
    - The easiest way to get the media to do their jobs is to make them your enemy. -- nm - TWuG Jan 21, 17:44
  - Yep. They know they are going to have a vocal opposition now. CNN just fact checked Spicer's comments. It was amazing. - pmb Jan 21, 16:32 2
    - Apparently they didn't broadcast live - waited to see the content first. - Reagen Jan 21, 16:34 1
      - Nice. -- nm - znufrii Jan 21, 16:36
  - That IM is exactly right. -- nm - David, ST's Ultimate Lover Jan 21, 16:20 2
    - I'm picturing Lisa Simpson playing a bad folk song. - Reagen Jan 21, 16:23 1
      - but Lisa, the blues ain't about making yourself feel better, its about making everyone else feel worse. -- nm - zeitgeist Jan 21, 16:28
  - yep...nm - x Jan 21, 16:18
  - hundreds marching at most... -- nm - Trump Jan 21, 16:18
Baghdad Sean -- nm - Beryllium Jan 21, 15:33 4
- Bullshit Spice -- nm - VMan Jan 21, 15:42 3
  - This is impressively good -- nm - ty97 Jan 21, 17:00
  - the lesser popular Spice Girl -- nm - Beaker Jan 21, 16:34 1
    - Yeah, it's perfect :) -- nm - Beryllium Jan 21, 16:41
I took a much scarier read on it (see one thread down) - ty97 Jan 21, 15:27 29
- oh, it can sow even more distrust of media among supporters, to be sure. i just don't think you can win with this sort of media strategy.. - x Jan 21, 15:34 28
  - The same kind of "evidence" that showed he had a 99% chance of losing the election? - Cuzzin Todd Jan 21, 15:42 27
    - ST wasn't there. We thought Hil would win, but a lot of people gave way lower odds than those. (link) -- (link) - Andie Jan 21, 16:43 [Backboard]
    - It would be difficult to find any over 85%, although I think there were one or two outliers up there. -- nm - mara Jan 21, 15:55 9
      - My recollection is that almost everybody other than 538 was in the mid-upper 90s on election day -- nm - ty97 Jan 21, 16:06 8
        
        bookies were paying out tickets for Hilary prior to the election, doesn't get more sure thing than that -- nm - Beaker Jan 21, 16:13 3
        
        show me a bookie who pays out before the race is over, and i'll show you a bookie.... - x Jan 21, 16:16 2
        
        I wonder if it saved them some bucks in the long run - Reagen Jan 21, 16:18 1
        
        right. you pay out early to hedge your bets....nm - x Jan 21, 16:21
        
        It's weird (but I mean, I know why people are trying this) that Silver is getting hammered for polling failures - Reagen Jan 21, 16:08 3
        
        the real problem is that most people don't understand how probability works....nm - x Jan 21, 16:10 1
        
        There's a 50/50/50 chance you're right about that. -- nm* - Cuzzin Todd Jan 21, 16:20
        
        Conservatives have hated him for years and don't care about facts. They just want a pound of flesh from Mr. Smarty Pants. -- nm - David, ST's Ultimate Lover Jan 21, 16:10
    - what are you taking about? i don't remember anyone saying he had a 99% chance of losing the election. what is your source for that? - x Jan 21, 15:52 10
      - Actually, it was 538 that kept me from hopping competely onboard the "Hilary's got this" train. - Cuzzin Todd Jan 21, 15:59 1
        
        I posted a Ken Jennings tweet that Trump had the same chance as a missed extra point. - David, ST's Ultimate Lover Jan 21, 16:05
      - some of the poll aggregator/model people did. HuffPo I think. NY Times had her at 94 or 95%. -- (edited) - ty97 Jan 21, 15:58 7
        
        Even Princeton Election Consortium had her at 98-99%. Here they are defending it on November 6. -- (link) - ty97 Jan 21, 16:03 4
        
        Nate of 538 and Ryan Grim of HuffPo twitter warring about the topic in early November -- (link) - ty97 Jan 21, 16:04 3
        
        Heh, okay. I guess it was HuffPo. -- nm* - David, ST's Ultimate Lover Jan 21, 16:07 2
        
        this is all fair enough. i sure don't pay any attention to huffpo....nm - x Jan 21, 16:12 1
        
        The important thing is that it was the bad timing hall of fame. - David, ST's Ultimate Lover Jan 21, 16:16
        
        I'm trying to find the piece I read on election day (or the day before) scolding 538/Nate Silver for being too gloomy... - Cuzzin Todd Jan 21, 16:01 1
        
        That's the one I referenced below. I don't remember who it was, either. -- nm - David, ST's Ultimate Lover Jan 21, 16:06
    - That's probability models, not polling, and anyone who went with 99% was bonkers. -- (edited) - ty97 Jan 21, 15:48 4
      - Nate Silver got slammed by an analyst at some site like HuffPo (but not them). His research indicated 99%. - David, ST's Ultimate Lover Jan 21, 16:04 3
        
        I think it actually was HuffPo. But models have to allow for unexpected events like Comey to happen - ty97 Jan 21, 16:05 2
        
        Could have been, but I tend to dismiss things on HuffPo as quickly as I would dismiss something from Fox. -- nm - Cuzzin Todd Jan 21, 16:21
        
        That's the problem with models predicated on history. Nothing can anticipate the unprecedented. - David, ST's Ultimate Lover Jan 21, 16:09

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