|
In response to
"The same kind of "evidence" that showed he had a 99% chance of losing the election?"
by
Cuzzin Todd
|
what are you taking about? i don't remember anyone saying he had a 99% chance of losing the election. what is your source for that?
Posted by
x (aka dmuck)
Jan 21 '17, 15:52
|
538, fwiw, had hilary at about a 71% chance to win. and sure--she lost. but that isn't really a knock against their model--it just means the 29% paid off. that is how probabilities work. sometimes you lose at the razor's edge.
i'm no big clinton fan, and i sure think she botched the job. but don't fool yourself--the margins were really, really thin. that they are out there trying to gin this stuff up a day into the presidency should be the best news the opposition could hear. it means they are on the defensive from day one.
|
Responses:
|
