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Hypothetical

Posted by Strongbad (aka Rambler14) Feb 15 '17, 12:47

State X has an election in 2012
R: White
D: Black

State X implements Strict Voter ID in 2014

State X has an election in 2016
R: White
D: White

Turnout gap for Blacks increases in 2016 vs 2012.

How can we be sure that the Voter ID change in 2014 caused the increase?

Responses:

[deleted]
That's why they looked across a broader spectrum than a single race. Or narrowed it to looking only at democrats. - pmb Feb 15, 12:50 7
- My point - Strongbad Feb 15, 12:58 6
  - [deleted] 5
    - Their implied conclusion is causation. - Strongbad Feb 15, 13:19 4
      - [deleted] 3
        
        I am not trying to disprove causation. - Strongbad Feb 15, 13:28 2
        
        [deleted] 1
        
        of the 2 sets of additional data I have brought up in this thread - Strongbad Feb 15, 14:00

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Hypothetical

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