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In response to
"who's even winning this now? With so many it is hard to keep track -- nm"
by
Beaker
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Up to the last few weeks I had Bernier as a prohibitive favorite. But I think he's fading a bit and other camps are telling me their polling....
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....Suggests a plateau. (Which I always thought would happen with his candidacy, though I was wrong on how high the plateau would kick in.)
My guy has had a good week for "the narrative", picking up some big endorsements and hopefully setting himself up for a come from behind run.
O'Leary's numbers don't look great when one figures that there will be about 175K potential voters in the race. Team Kellie's polling suggests that O'Leary has second-choice potential, but everyone else suggests he's a candidate (like their own with Leitch) who people will either be YES or NO on and if NO, nothing gets them there until several other options are exhausted.
So that brings us back to Bernier. Certainly a good bet to win it. Best positioned too. Just needs the race over in two weeks, not five.
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