In response to
"Anecdotal, but I was speaking with a work connection/former Conservative staffer a couple of weeks ago, and he was saying not to underestimate O'Leary"
by
Roger More
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I'd be curious on your friend's second choice. Where Raitt people go could determine this. On KOL....
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...I've heard similar and that he's bought himself a strong team (many of the Belinda Stronach mercenaries from 2004, augmented with some additional pick ups from the last few years).
I just don't see him winning over enough of the second choice folks to get to 50% plus one. (At least 60K votes or so.) His lack of french, his lack of seriousness. He communicates extremely well - almost conclusively the most important component of a modern leader - however, he needed just a little more time to show he wasn't just doing this on a lark. He should have been working the party for nine months, not three.
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