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In response to "Anecdotal, but I was speaking with a work connection/former Conservative staffer a couple of weeks ago, and he was saying not to underestimate O'Leary" by Roger More

I'd be curious on your friend's second choice. Where Raitt people go could determine this. On KOL....

...I've heard similar and that he's bought himself a strong team (many of the Belinda Stronach mercenaries from 2004, augmented with some additional pick ups from the last few years).

I just don't see him winning over enough of the second choice folks to get to 50% plus one. (At least 60K votes or so.) His lack of french, his lack of seriousness. He communicates extremely well - almost conclusively the most important component of a modern leader - however, he needed just a little more time to show he wasn't just doing this on a lark. He should have been working the party for nine months, not three.


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