ST Alpha - "Looking at where the district is that flippes, I think it's more local than national. " (Reading a Post)

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Looking at where the district is that flippes, I think it's more local than national.

Posted by spamlet Feb 7 '18, 05:56

That is a heavy union area and Missouri passed Right to Work last year. I'm going to guess it's more a reaction to that than Trump. It used to be a blue wall but it's been trending solidly red for a decade.

That's an area that is blue collar union but pro-life, pro-gun, and anti-immigrant so the national party is *not* going to be popular there. That can be seen in the split between how Kander did and how Clinton did in Jefferson County. Kander had the ad of him putting the military rifle together blindfolded and ran a solid campaign painting himself as a more conservative Democrat (even though he's not really). Plus he was running against a guy that had been in DC forever in an anti-establishment election.

McCaskill isn't going to be able to do any of that. I'm happy that the democrats picked up a seat and got closer to not having a one party state but I think it's less indicative of anything nationally than people want to paint.

Responses:

All of the individual cases are starting to add up though. - Reagen Feb 7, 06:21 4
- Someone said that wasn't accurate later in the thread because otherwise they would have picked up 2. -- nm - spamlet Feb 7, 06:33 3
  - [deleted]
  - It was a +68 district previously some nonsense. -- nm - Reagen Feb 7, 06:45 1
    - Oh, too early. I read it as they picked up 53 percent. - spamlet Feb 7, 06:57
[deleted]

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Looking at where the district is that flippes, I think it's more local than national.

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