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Posts: 153
About that 4,645 death figure for deaths in PR due to Maria: The 95% confidence interval is rather enormous.
Posted by
Baron Breynolds (aka BaronWasteland)
Jun 3 '18, 07:26
We can say with 95% confidence is greater than zero. Beyond that it's mostly ASCII shrug.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2018/06/02/did-4645-people-die-in-hurricane-maria-nope/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.0ebae8e70e97
(www.washingtonpost.com)
Responses:
Wasn't the estimated number from that 798 or so to 8,697 or abouts? The 4,645 is in the middle of that. -- nm
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.
Jun 3, 13:51
the real issue is, hundreds if not thousands died that wouldn't necessarily died but for....
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zeitgeist
Jun 3, 13:35
1
there was a huge difference btw the official total and the missing after the 1906 san fran quake and fire -- nm
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zeitgeist
Jun 3, 13:37
Fascinating and eye opening. Thanks for sharing. -- nm
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Mop
Jun 3, 07:54
What’s the standard deviation? -- nm
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Beryllium
Jun 3, 07:53
3
95% confidence means you have ~1 s.d. on either side of the mean. -- nm
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Reagen
Jun 3, 08:23
2
2, I thought. 68/95/99.5? -- nm
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znufrii
Jun 3, 09:10
1
right. I brainfarted. -- nm
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Reagen
Jun 3, 09:31
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