ST Alpha - "When I looked up the districts early, they didn't seem very GOP friendly. -- (edited)" (Reading a Post)

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When I looked up the districts early, they didn't seem very GOP friendly. -- (edited)

Posted by ty97 Sep 13 '18, 19:44

One of Riverdale area of Bronx plus some of far lower Westchester like Pelham. A few were in Queens. A couple were in Brooklyn with at one of those having portions in Staten Island. SI is the only area that really strikes me as having a chance of leaning R.

I can't say for sure, but most of these sound like they lean D to me? So overall seems a D pickup (not to consider R seats the Ds could pick up). Right now, with the IDC having been dissolved (to try to save them), the state senate is 31-31-1 with the 1 caucusing with the GOP. Doesn't take much to shift that balance.

Responses:

If you'll forgive me, I'll link the district maps. First is NY-34 where Klein has now LOST. -- (link) - ty97 Sep 13, 19:47 19
- [deleted] 2
  - and I think my district is flipping - Tim Sep 13, 19:58 1
    - That's the other thing. In the current climate, I think some of the current R districts are likely on the ropes and could flip - ty97 Sep 13, 20:04
- And 31 where Alcantara lost handily -- (link) - ty97 Sep 13, 19:52 3
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    - I'm showing you the districts to help you make your own analysis like you are doing here. - ty97 Sep 13, 19:57 1
      - [deleted]
- 20 where Hamilton is losing. Not called but seems likely to stick -- (link) - ty97 Sep 13, 19:51 4
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    - Certainly, it's not like Staten Island is the only place where Republicans exist in NYC. - ty97 Sep 13, 19:56 2
      - [deleted] 1
        
        One other thing. In general, I don't think these D challengers ran as Dem Socialists like Ocasio-Cortez - ty97 Sep 13, 20:06
- 13 where Peralta is losing. Not called yet but seems inevitable. -- (link) - ty97 Sep 13, 19:50
- 11 where Avella is losing but not called yet -- (link) - ty97 Sep 13, 19:50
- 23 where Savino has kept her seat (or her primary place at least) -- (link) - ty97 Sep 13, 19:49
- 38 where Carlucci seems likely to save his seat but not called yet -- (link*) - ty97 Sep 13, 19:48
- 53 where Valesky is losing (but it's close) -- (link) - ty97 Sep 13, 19:48 2
  - Honestly 53 is the only one I'd tend to worry at all about but that's because I don't the district. - ty97 Sep 13, 19:54 1
    - [deleted]

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When I looked up the districts early, they didn't seem very GOP friendly. -- (edited)

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