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In response to "ST Prediction Poll: Name the #1 movie of 2019 based on this list of release dates. -- (link)" by oblique

Avengers: Endgame -> Star Wars -> The Lion King -> Frozen 2 -> Jumanji. Disney is not letting up in 2019. That said (more inside)

Posted by MDH Jan 2 '19, 12:26

I think Avengers Endgame suffers from a bad first act, and too many superhero movies. If Star Wars doesn't make HUGE money, Disney is in big trouble with that whole business.

Responses:

I want to bet that Frozen and Lion King out gross Avengers and Star Wars. Feels instantly crazy but the more I think about it. -- nm - Name Withheld By Request Jan 2, 12:28 18
- In Disney circles, Frozen is pretty played out. I think it'll do well but nowhere near Star Wars/Avengers well. Lion King could do $500M, though. -- nm - David Jan 2, 12:51
- Frozen had no competition besides Smaug. This one has Star Wars, Jumanji, Cats, etc. -- nm - MDH Jan 2, 12:31 6
  - Are we sure Jumanji 2 will be a hit? Or Cats, which feels like it could be one of those obvious hits that won't be? -- nm - Name Withheld By Request Jan 2, 12:32 5
    - Everyone like Jumanji. I don't understand Cats at all. But I know it's got a huge fanbase/musicals make money in the Christmas week. -- nm - MDH Jan 2, 12:34 1
      - ~Remember when we built a snowman....~ -- nm - Name Withheld By Request Jan 2, 12:35
    - I'm way more inclined to see J2 than I was the first one. It was significantly better than it seemed to be. My guess is that it opens a good deal - oblique Jan 2, 12:34 2
      - Yeah, I'd expect it's opening to at least double -- nm - Will Hunting Jan 2, 12:44
      - I saw the first one in theaters well after opening. I'd see this one immediately. -- nm - MDH Jan 2, 12:35
- L3! -- nm - Spawn Jan 2, 12:29 9
  - I'm getting Matrix 2 to Matrix 3 drop offs from Avengers. (Not raw numbers, but general interest drop after the second chapter.) - Name Withheld By Request Jan 2, 12:31 8
    - I still haven't watched Matrix 3. Never. -- nm - oblique Jan 2, 12:39
    - Yeah... no. Matrix was a few movies, this is a movie universe. Awareness is off the chart on this one. -- nm - Spawn Jan 2, 12:38
    - Anything's possible but the pre-release awareness numbers for the next one are higher than the last one or any other film since Force Awakens. -- nm - David Jan 2, 12:35 1
      - Thank you (stupid phone call). -- nm - Spawn Jan 2, 12:39
    - And I think the same for Star Wars 8 -> 9 -- nm - Strongbad Jan 2, 12:34 3
      - I can see a Star Wars drop WAY before an Avengers. Endgame is the culmination of 10-11 years worth of high quality films. People will complete it. nm - Uhtred, son of Uhtred Jan 2, 12:37 2
        
        Agreed. I'm struggling right now to recall what the big plot is supposed to be for Star Wars but EVERYONE knows what we're looking for in Avengers -- nm - oblique Jan 2, 12:39 1
        
        Both are rather doom-and-gloom. I do know a spoiler for *both* movies, though (exact same one). I think we knew the AE one already, but maybe not SW. - Spawn Jan 2, 12:40
Yeah. That's an insane lineup even with F2 being a total cash grab. That Jumanji will do crazy good also given how strangely good the last one was -- nm - oblique Jan 2, 12:27

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Avengers: Endgame -> Star Wars -> The Lion King -> Frozen 2 -> Jumanji. Disney is not letting up in 2019. That said (more inside)

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