ST Alpha - "I want to bet that Frozen and Lion King out gross Avengers and Star Wars. Feels instantly crazy but the more I think about it. -- nm" (Reading a Post)

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In response to "Avengers: Endgame -> Star Wars -> The Lion King -> Frozen 2 -> Jumanji. Disney is not letting up in 2019. That said (more inside)" by MDH

I want to bet that Frozen and Lion King out gross Avengers and Star Wars. Feels instantly crazy but the more I think about it. -- nm

Posted by Name Withheld By Request (aka BlueKopo) Jan 2 '19, 12:28

(No message)

Responses:

In Disney circles, Frozen is pretty played out. I think it'll do well but nowhere near Star Wars/Avengers well. Lion King could do $500M, though. -- nm - David Jan 2, 12:51
Frozen had no competition besides Smaug. This one has Star Wars, Jumanji, Cats, etc. -- nm - MDH Jan 2, 12:31 6
- Are we sure Jumanji 2 will be a hit? Or Cats, which feels like it could be one of those obvious hits that won't be? -- nm - Name Withheld By Request Jan 2, 12:32 5
  - Everyone like Jumanji. I don't understand Cats at all. But I know it's got a huge fanbase/musicals make money in the Christmas week. -- nm - MDH Jan 2, 12:34 1
    - ~Remember when we built a snowman....~ -- nm - Name Withheld By Request Jan 2, 12:35
  - I'm way more inclined to see J2 than I was the first one. It was significantly better than it seemed to be. My guess is that it opens a good deal - oblique Jan 2, 12:34 2
    - Yeah, I'd expect it's opening to at least double -- nm - Will Hunting Jan 2, 12:44
    - I saw the first one in theaters well after opening. I'd see this one immediately. -- nm - MDH Jan 2, 12:35
L3! -- nm - Spawn Jan 2, 12:29 9
- I'm getting Matrix 2 to Matrix 3 drop offs from Avengers. (Not raw numbers, but general interest drop after the second chapter.) - Name Withheld By Request Jan 2, 12:31 8
  - I still haven't watched Matrix 3. Never. -- nm - oblique Jan 2, 12:39
  - Yeah... no. Matrix was a few movies, this is a movie universe. Awareness is off the chart on this one. -- nm - Spawn Jan 2, 12:38
  - Anything's possible but the pre-release awareness numbers for the next one are higher than the last one or any other film since Force Awakens. -- nm - David Jan 2, 12:35 1
    - Thank you (stupid phone call). -- nm - Spawn Jan 2, 12:39
  - And I think the same for Star Wars 8 -> 9 -- nm - Strongbad Jan 2, 12:34 3
    - I can see a Star Wars drop WAY before an Avengers. Endgame is the culmination of 10-11 years worth of high quality films. People will complete it. nm - Uhtred, son of Uhtred Jan 2, 12:37 2
      - Agreed. I'm struggling right now to recall what the big plot is supposed to be for Star Wars but EVERYONE knows what we're looking for in Avengers -- nm - oblique Jan 2, 12:39 1
        
        Both are rather doom-and-gloom. I do know a spoiler for *both* movies, though (exact same one). I think we knew the AE one already, but maybe not SW. - Spawn Jan 2, 12:40

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