ST Alpha - "do you have a positive Flu A test? that's my criteria. -- nm" (Reading a Post)

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In response to "Uh oh. I just coughed a few times. Under Loosi's rules I have swine flu. " by ? Redmond

do you have a positive Flu A test? that's my criteria. -- nm

Posted by loosiflu (aka loosilu2) May 30 '09, 15:39

(No message)

Responses:

Work with me here, because this is about to get complicated, but I think you can handle it.... - TWuG May 30, 15:43 28
- work with me here. CUrrently, the subset of new cases that are NOT H1N1 is very small. - loosiflu May 30, 15:44 27
  - You keep asking Redmond to admit to something you aren't claiming is a certainty? -- nm - TWuG May 30, 15:45 26
    - *pours TWuG a stiff drink* - Will Hunting May 30, 15:46 21
      - I'm just Remond's back up here. I couldn't possibly care less if she actually does have H1N1, I just find it amusing that she is arguing - TWuG May 30, 15:50 4
        
        have you not caught on that I'm really bored? -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:51
        
        :) I might have a new strip club wing man in the making. -- nm - ? Redmond May 30, 15:50 2
        
        Me? Worst wingman ever. I need a wingman to hook my wife. - TWuG May 30, 15:54 1
        
        Wing men elevate both men's skills. -- nm - ? Redmond May 30, 15:56
      - I'm not arguing law. I'm arguing biology. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:47 15
        
        I'm arguing fact vs supposition. - Will Hunting May 30, 15:49 14
        
        biology is about probability, and I'm well inside it. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:50 13
        
        But you could still be a standard case of Flu A. Just because the odds are small doesn't mean you are right. - TWuG May 30, 15:53 7
        
        cut down the 15% again because I got the flu shot, which covers 90% of flu A. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:55 6
        
        But is it 90% effective? Maybe it targets 90% of flu A but is only 75% effective in innoculating you against those strains. Where's that put your - TWuG May 30, 15:58 3
        
        nice try! only 10% of new cases that are not H1N1 are in patients who got the shot. That means there's only 1.5% chance I have regular flu A. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 16:02 2
        
        Exactly! You just showed you can't be sure. -- nm - ? Redmond May 30, 16:10 1
        
        in biology, there is no 100% sure. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 16:18
        
        The flu shot was less effective this year. -- nm - ? Redmond May 30, 15:56 1
        
        completely untrue, it was ineffective last year but very effective this year. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:57
        
        Ya know what else is probability? Cards. and I just lost a 19:1 shot today so until you got the winner - Will Hunting May 30, 15:52
        
        So was I until the failed test result -- nm - ? Redmond May 30, 15:51 3
        
        I passed more tests than you. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:52 2
        
        Not enough tests however. You need one more -- nm - ? Redmond May 30, 15:53 1
        
        CDC won't do the test, but they assume I have H1N1. Good enough for them. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:53
    - I want him to admit it's likely. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:46 3
      - Only thing you are getting is it's possible. Not going to get a likely without a test result. -- nm - ? Redmond May 30, 15:47 2
        
        then we're not hooking upl -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:48 1
        
        Well that's because you are too stubourn. -- nm - ? Redmond May 30, 15:48

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