ST Alpha - "I'm arguing fact vs supposition." (Reading a Post)

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In response to "I'm not arguing law. I'm arguing biology. -- nm" by loosiflu

I'm arguing fact vs supposition.

Posted by Will Hunting (aka kelly) May 30 '09, 15:49

actually, I don't care one way or another.

but until you are confirmed, you ain't got squat.

Responses:

biology is about probability, and I'm well inside it. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:50 13
- But you could still be a standard case of Flu A. Just because the odds are small doesn't mean you are right. - TWuG May 30, 15:53 7
  - cut down the 15% again because I got the flu shot, which covers 90% of flu A. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:55 6
    - But is it 90% effective? Maybe it targets 90% of flu A but is only 75% effective in innoculating you against those strains. Where's that put your - TWuG May 30, 15:58 3
      - nice try! only 10% of new cases that are not H1N1 are in patients who got the shot. That means there's only 1.5% chance I have regular flu A. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 16:02 2
        
        Exactly! You just showed you can't be sure. -- nm - ? Redmond May 30, 16:10 1
        
        in biology, there is no 100% sure. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 16:18
    - The flu shot was less effective this year. -- nm - ? Redmond May 30, 15:56 1
      - completely untrue, it was ineffective last year but very effective this year. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:57
- Ya know what else is probability? Cards. and I just lost a 19:1 shot today so until you got the winner - Will Hunting May 30, 15:52
- So was I until the failed test result -- nm - ? Redmond May 30, 15:51 3
  - I passed more tests than you. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:52 2
    - Not enough tests however. You need one more -- nm - ? Redmond May 30, 15:53 1
      - CDC won't do the test, but they assume I have H1N1. Good enough for them. -- nm - loosiflu May 30, 15:53

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I'm arguing fact vs supposition.

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