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In response to "Unhatched chickens decidedly not counted but I don't see where Trump has improved his stance and he's got a pretty low ceiling of support. -- nm" by Reagen

It is pretty amazing how consistent that 41-42% number is. But like most elections turnout is what matters. His 41-42% are more likely to turn out

than the 50+% of the democratic candidate. He has smaller margin for error, but it's still doable.

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