ST Alpha - "FWIW, a few weeks ago Joe Posnanski had a great blog post about 300 game winners." (Reading a Post)

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FWIW, a few weeks ago Joe Posnanski had a great blog post about 300 game winners.

Posted by musubi Jun 4 '09, 11:56

He points out that you can't look at young pitchers to guess who'll be a 300 game winner. Young pitchers who win a lot of games while young tend to get too much wear on their arms and break down. To win 300s, you have to be great in your 30s, and there just is no way to guess that.

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PS- he points to Halladay and, of all people, Mark Buerhle, as possibilities. (nm) - musubi Jun 4, 11:58 11
- Buehrle can probably pitch til he is 40. So that is probably where it gets close. nm -- nm - groiny Jun 4, 12:01 10
  - That's exactly the reasoning. He's not a power pitcher, so breakdown is less likely, he keeps pitch counts relatively low. - musubi Jun 4, 12:04 9
    - That's why Vazquez is in the discussion. He goes 7 innings no matter what. -- nm - David Jun 4, 12:15 8
      - He's also been ridiculously unlucky. - musubi Jun 4, 12:20 2
        
        as good as he has been this year. He is 4-4. - groiny Jun 4, 12:22 1
        
        Johan Santana won only 16 while being arguably the best pitcher in the league. A lot of it is luck. - musubi Jun 4, 12:29
      - wait, Javy????? - groiny Jun 4, 12:16 4
        
        Did you look at the list? He's tied for 17th in wins at 32 and has a rubber arm. -- nm - David Jun 4, 12:17 3
        
        yes, but he is barely a .500 pitcher in his career, and has not come close to 20 a season. - groiny Jun 4, 12:19 2
        
        He's been incredibly unlucky to get those records though. - musubi Jun 4, 12:22 1
        
        I say this as someone who loved watching him pitch. - groiny Jun 4, 12:23

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FWIW, a few weeks ago Joe Posnanski had a great blog post about 300 game winners.

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