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In response to "If you think that everyone that dislikes Trump is going to vote for Bernie that’s simply not true. -- nm" by spamlet

I have severe worries about Bernie's electability but I do think (in highly oversimplified terms) that

Posted by ty97 Feb 11 '20, 10:05

it's a matter of how many people are motivated by Bernie to voter Dem (either people who would have voted Trump or people who could have stayed home)

vs how many people who would have voted Dem for another candidate but won't with Bernie as the nome (whether those folks stay home for vote Trump )

I have no idea which number would be greater

Responses:

I'm not convinced he's the best choice, but he has *double digit* positive approval ratings among Americans. -- nm - Reagen Feb 11, 10:29
All Bernie has to do is flip Pennsylvania Michigan Wisconsin -- (edited) - eag Feb 11, 10:10 5
- I doubt he can hold Minn given its demographics— it’s not that simple -- nm - JackDawson Feb 11, 10:33
- He won the primaries in MI and WI yes, but that's not the same as winning a general. - ty97 Feb 11, 10:14 3
  - I think just like in 2016 when we underestimated Trumps base - eag Feb 11, 10:20 2
    - He has an impressive and impassioned base, no question about that. -- nm - ty97 Feb 11, 10:22 1
      - In a year where you dont have Hillary who was verry polarizing and unlikable and you have more likable choices - eag Feb 11, 10:37
Right. You’re betting on a group that doesn’t historically vote coming out and voting while ignoring a group that historically votes. -- nm - spamlet Feb 11, 10:08 1
- I think that oversimplifies it too. -- nm - ty97 Feb 11, 10:10

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I have severe worries about Bernie's electability but I do think (in highly oversimplified terms) that

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