ST Alpha - "He won the primaries in MI and WI yes, but that's not the same as winning a general." (Reading a Post)

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In response to "All Bernie has to do is flip Pennsylvania Michigan Wisconsin -- (edited)" by eag

He won the primaries in MI and WI yes, but that's not the same as winning a general.

Posted by ty97 Feb 11 '20, 10:14

Hillary lost by like 2500 votes in one of those states. Let's say that 1000 people who voted for Trump would have voted for Bernie and that 4000 people who didn't vote would have voted for Bernie.

Now you have to counteract that with how many people who voted for Hillary either would not have voted or would have voted for Trump if Bernie was the nominee.

Plus add in people who did not vote who would have been motivated to vote Trump to avoid a Bernie presidency.

Those numbers could still work out to Bernie winning, but it's not as simple as just saying he needs to flip 2000 people.

Responses:

I think just like in 2016 when we underestimated Trumps base - eag Feb 11, 10:20 2
- He has an impressive and impassioned base, no question about that. -- nm - ty97 Feb 11, 10:22 1
  - In a year where you dont have Hillary who was verry polarizing and unlikable and you have more likable choices - eag Feb 11, 10:37

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He won the primaries in MI and WI yes, but that's not the same as winning a general.

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