ST Alpha - "By my calcs, at 50 percent growth rate, all Americans would have COVID-19 on day 37. It's day 158 at 10 percent. -- nm*" (Reading a Post)

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In response to "(This is the number of infected at 10 percent growth vs. 50 percent growth after 10 days.) -- nm" by David

By my calcs, at 50 percent growth rate, all Americans would have COVID-19 on day 37. It's day 158 at 10 percent. -- nm*

Posted by David (aka David) Mar 15 '20, 22:13

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it's more complicated (and most likely slower) than those. what you need here is some Gaussian process regression! - mafic Mar 15, 22:27 2
- Oh, I'm aware, but I'm just having to explain the concept of flattening the curve right now. - David Mar 15, 22:43
- and dead people can't transmit anymore -- nm - zeitgeist Mar 15, 22:34
And I have the current rate over the last two days as 25% and 30%. - David Mar 15, 22:17

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