ST Alpha - "Hard to answer, but generally, when the rate of new infections starts to go down, we can start to loosen up. " (Reading a Post)

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In response to "Hey Loosi (good to see you and thanks for the insights), I had a question for you." by pmb

Hard to answer, but generally, when the rate of new infections starts to go down, we can start to loosen up.

Posted by loosilu (aka loosilu2) Mar 17 '20, 10:39

It doesn't spike again at that point, because of herd immunity. So, it's not a cycle, it has a beginning and an end. After the slope starts to go down, there will be localized outbreaks that can be contained.

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Trying to think of a way to illustrate it. Lets say a forest is burning. After a certain point, it can't become a conflagration again because - loosilu Mar 17, 10:42 1
- But that requires a pretty significant mass to have had it right? If the social distancing works to slow the spread, it could go down before a - pmb Mar 17, 10:59

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Hard to answer, but generally, when the rate of new infections starts to go down, we can start to loosen up.

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