ST Alpha - "I keep seeing the ‘We are on the same track as Italy, just ten days behind’ talking point but is that really a logical comparison? " (Reading a Post)

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I keep seeing the ‘We are on the same track as Italy, just ten days behind’ talking point but is that really a logical comparison?

Posted by Volnelk Mar 17 '20, 21:04

The numbers are the same so far, but Italy is roughly the same size as Arizona. So the numbers are the same, but not percentages.

And yes, our population is much higher so if it goes and goes it would be terrible here. But Italy is five times denser than the US. 532 per square mile compared to 93 in the US.

Long story short, it seems weird to me to compare the two.

Responses:

I think it's meant more as a generality of what could happen, though at the same time the numbers have lined up alarmingly well (so far) -- (edited) - ty97 Mar 17, 21:51 6
- To that point. Google is telling me that the population density of Italy is 532 per square mile. -- (edited) - ty97 Mar 17, 21:57 5
  - So Italy is like Idaho in that respect - crash davis Mar 17, 22:10 2
    - Both start with the letter I and arguably end in vowels... - ty97 Mar 17, 22:12 1
      - Brava! -- nm - crash davis Mar 17, 22:13
  - (obviously check my math on some of these, I'm sleepy and could have messed up) - ty97 Mar 17, 22:07
  - Yes. Remember that map Trump loved to show of all the places where he won the popular vote? That's rural America. - David Mar 17, 22:03
It's a mathematical curiosity as much as anything, but it has worked remarkably well as an expectations model thus far. - David Mar 17, 21:17
Let’s ask Loosilu -- nm - Pippy-with a side eye Mar 17, 21:17
Nothing like sewing a bit of fear and panic to get eyeballs. -- nm - Mop Mar 17, 21:08

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I keep seeing the ‘We are on the same track as Italy, just ten days behind’ talking point but is that really a logical comparison?

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