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In response to
"I keep seeing the ‘We are on the same track as Italy, just ten days behind’ talking point but is that really a logical comparison? "
by
Volnelk
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I think it's meant more as a generality of what could happen, though at the same time the numbers have lined up alarmingly well (so far) -- (edited)
Posted by
ty97
Mar 17 '20, 21:51
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Keep in mind as well where it is spreading quickly now: dense places.
Yes, overall our country has much fewer people per square mile than Italy. But the vast majority of people in the US live in urban and suburban areas which are denser than the US is overall. (Though the suburbs are likely less dense than Italy, I'd assume? Can't be sure. EDIT: Appears they may not be, see some numbers in reply to this post)
In other words, we have a whole lot of farmland and plains and mountains in the middle of the country that are very very very sparsely populated (overall. Obviously some metro areas exist there too). That skews our overall average in comparison to Italy.
But on the coasts, we are denser than the US average. And looks where it's spreading. NY. WA. CA. NJ. MA. FL.
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