ST Alpha - "I get the curve and exponents and all, but I still can't quite fathom: Cuomo says we will now need 140K hospital beds (instead of 110k) at peak." (Reading a Post)

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I get the curve and exponents and all, but I still can't quite fathom: Cuomo says we will now need 140K hospital beds (instead of 110k) at peak.

Posted by ty97 Mar 24 '20, 13:55

140,000 hospital beds.

My brain just can't comprehend.

Responses:

And they'll all be empty by Easter! -- nm - Cuzzin Todd Mar 24, 14:06
ancient strategy. always ask for more than you need [knowing you won't get it], and you will compromise for a number closer to what you really need. -- nm* - Peglegpete Mar 24, 14:01 1
- hope so, but still, the fact that he increased the ask by 30,000 is frightening -- nm - ty97 Mar 24, 14:03
That would be 15% of all U.S. hospital beds (924k) in normal times. (fewer than 70k used for adult intensive care) -- (link) - Max Mar 24, 13:58
That’s - alarming. It assumes about .5 million infected at the same time given the critical to infected ratio? -- nm - JackDawson Mar 24, 13:56 2
- At a rate of 15% hospitalization, that implies 933,000 I think. At rate of 20% hospitalization 700,00. BUT (goodish news?) - ty97 Mar 24, 13:59 1
  - Right sorry -- nm - JackDawson Mar 24, 14:25
It's just the flu, ty97. Get with the program -- nm - oblique Mar 24, 13:55

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